Horse Racing – Wed 1st June

After months of paper trading it’s now day one of my new and improved tips which are always for 1 point wins at level stakes.

Tips will always be posted on here the night before to take advantage of early prices and at 1pm on Twitter and Facebook.

Generic horse racing picture

4.50 Cart – Hi Dancer 11/2 Betway

5.20 Cart – Cape Caster 5/1 Betfair Sportsbook

6.40 Chel – Escalating 9/2 Betway

~~~~~

Open a Betfair account HERE. Then place a £10 bet and get THREE £10 bets free!

Picture of Betfair's bet £10 and get £30 in free bets for new accounts!

Snooker Tips – 2016/17 Season

The 2016/17 season started on Sunday with the Indian Open Qualifiers, only a few weeks or so since Mark Selby won the World Championship!

A generic picture of snooker balls on a snooker table.

I have decided to change my betting approach for this season due to so many shock performances from the top players during 2015/16 which really made a dent in my bottom line.

Neil Robertson won two back to back tournaments in November and December and then got knocked out just before Christmas in the German Masters qualifiers. Robbo was runner up to Ronnie in the Welsh Open and then had three first round exits in a row!

Ronnie O’ Sullivan was excellent in the Masters and the Welsh Open which he duly won, but those wins were bookmarked by a shock defeat in December to Stuart Carrington in the German Masters qualifiers and a round one exit in the to Michael Holt in the Grand Prix.

Shaun Murphy never reached a quarter final until when he won the World Grand Prix in March and lost in the first round six times!

Judd Trump won the China Open but went out in the first round three times last year.

Mark Selby last three tournaments were runner-up, first round loss & of course he won the World Championship. Even he can be erratic too as had another first round exit earlier in the season, but as he is the current World Champion that more than makes up for it.

Now I know they can’t win every match but you’d expect these top players not to get knocked out so early in competitions. I tend to trade the top players in the outright win markets and group them together in first round accumulators which is the main reason why I only had 20 points profit for the 2015/26 season. I could put this down to a one off season or I could change my betting approach, I am choosing the latter.

I think the reason for these shock defeats are down to the fact that standard has been raised across the board and the lesser players play the top players more often than before and no longer fear them like they used to. Most sportsmen’s seasons are geared towards playing well in the main tournaments and snooker is no different with the top tournaments of last season going to the top players. Robertson won the UK Championship, O’ Sullivan won the Masters and Selby won the World Championship.

Whatever the reasons are for the top players winning the main events, they are the tournaments to concentrate on and perhaps it would be prudent to give the other tournaments a miss.

I analysed my tips for last season and made more profit for betting in the 3 main tournaments as I did for whole of the season!

So for the 2016/17 season I will in effect change from a full-time snooker tipster to a part-time one. I will concentrate on the UK Championships (Nov/Dec), the Masters (Jan) and the World Championship (Apr/May). But I intend to trade the outright win markets on Betfair for some of the remaining tournaments.

I will paper trade outsiders to win matches in the early rounds for 2016/17 as I made money doing this in the World Championship in 2016 as this could prove more profitable than grouping a few favourites together in accumulators. If they prove worthwhile doing I will include these for 2017/18 season and should have enough tips get back to being a full-time snooker tipster, but in the meantime I am going with quality rather than quantity.

Horse Racing – 1st June 2016 Onwards

picture of racehorses cantering on the Curragh gallops

The main reason I keep detailed results is to see how profitable I am in all four areas that I tip in (horse racing, snooker, darts & golf).

Unfortunately for 2016 both my horse racing and snooker tips have under performed so I have made changes which should prove profitable once again. My darts tips have over performed and are now the most profitable sport that I tip since I started in July 2015, so they will stay the same. I made changes to my golf tips at the start of 2016 which have seen a dramatic improvement and they are currently my most profitable sport for 2016.

My horse racing tips were never hugely profitable with approx 50 points profit per year as I only concentrated on listed and group races, but I felt that they were still worthwhile doing. But the new tips should prove significantly more profitable.

So after four months of paper trading all types of races, with a little tweeking here and there I am more than happy to introduce my new improved tips from 1st June onwards. I will be tipping three and occasionally four horses to back every day at 1 point level stakes with bookmaker who offer Best Odds Guaranteed. They will be posted up on here around 6pm-7pm the night before to take advantage of early prices and then posted on Facebook & Twitter about an hour or so before the first race of the day.

 

 

BMW PGA Championship – Lay

Round three saw the leaders shoot over par letting the chasing pack back in with a chance, which has left a very open last day with the first four betting priced between 5/1 – 7/1.

I have already traded Danny Willet with a 4 point profit if he wins and a 1 point profit on every other player here. He is joint 5th going into Sunday at 6 under, which is three shots behind the leader.

Picture of the professional golfer Lee Westwood

Lee Westwood

Lee shot four under yesterday and by his own admission in a post match interview on Sky Sports, he never really made a put. He admitted that the 4 birdies that he had, the putts were all gimmies. He is a fantastic iron player but his weakness is his putting and he is going to have to putt well tomorrow to win as there are ten players all within four shots of the lead.

Lee is currently the favourite in joint third, two shots behind the leader. He has played in this tournament 22 times without ever winning it.

I don’t usually lay a player at this price but I will for a questionable putter!

Lay Westwood at 6.00 (5/1) – Betfair Exchange

~~~~~

Open a Betfair account HERE. Then place a £10 bet and get THREE £10 bets free!

Picture of Betfair's bet £10 and get £30 in free bets for new accounts!

 

 

World Cup Of Darts – Outright Win

The £250,000 tournament starts on Thursday 2nd June and concludes on Sunday 5th June with coverage on Sky Sports. It will take place at the Eissporthalle in Frankfurt, Germany in a mixture of doubles & singles matches with 32 countries taking part. The winning team will win £25,000 each and the format is a mixture of singles and doubles.

picture of team england. taylor and lewis with the tropy
Can #TeamEngland Win Again?

I am posting up my tips nice early as only one bookie (Skybet) has 13/8 for Holland to win and it may well be gone next week, early bird and all that. Round one tips to follow on Tuesday or Wednesday.

Draw

Hungary v Thailand
USA v Philippines
Norway v Gibraltar
Denmark v Sweden
Belgium v Poland
Scotland v New Zealand
Netherlands v Russia
Australia v Germany

Czech Republic v China
Greece v Canada
Republic of Ireland v Hong Kong
South Africa v Singapore
Northern Ireland v Japan
Wales v Finland
England v Spain
Austria v Italy

World Cup Of Darts draw 2016 and teams

Scotland

This years line up is Gary Anderson and Robert Thornton as unfortunately Peter Wright ruled himself out. Which is such a s shame as Gary and Peter played really well together last year and finished the runners-up. Gary beat MvG a couple of days ago in the final of the Dubai Darts Masters so he is coming into this tournament in fine fettle.

Netherlands/Holland

The Dutch duo this year are Michael van Gerwen and Raymond van Barneveld, as like Peter above, Jelle klaasen decided not to put his name forward. Holland are the favourites here but I am wary of Raymondo here.  Such a shame that Holland and Scotland are in the same quarter of the draw as otherwise I would have traded them both plus England on Betfair.

England

Past winners Adrian Lewis and Phil Taylor line up shoulder to shoulder once more and as they are in the bottom half of the draw they should in theory coast their way to the final to meet either Scotland or Holland.

~~~~~

It’s really tough for me to pick a winner here  but I have narrowed it down to Holland, Scotland and England. Yeah I know, a serious case of sitting on the fence here, but this looks the best way to approach this tournament as each team has a player who is currently playing well below par at the moment.

I will back all three for a total of three points which will give me a profit of 4.86 points if either team wins.

Scotland 5/1 – Powers & Ladbrokes

Holland 13/8 – Skybet

England 9/4 – Boylesports & Bwin

 

 

Dean & Deluca Invitational – Round 3

I have traded Jordan Spieth for this tournament here and I am currently 6 points in profit if he wins and break even if he doesn’t. So all I am doing is moving some of my profit on to other players just like I did with Danny Willet in the BMW PGA Championship on the European Tour here.

Picture of pro golfer Jordan Spieth

Jordan is currently joint third going into round 3, just 1 shot of the lead. He is the favourite at 3.30 (9/4) and due to tee off at 7pm GMT alongside the two joint leaders.

Lay Spieth (1 point) at 3.00 (2/1) – Betfair Exchange

Dubai Darts Masters – Semi Finals

2/2 winning darts tips yesterday giving just over 6 points profit and there is just the 1 tip for the semi-finals as we are down to the final four players.

Phil should beat Gary by a similar scoreline as he did in last weeks semi-final in the Premier League. But I won’t be backing him as I have already traded him as a plan B here, just in case my main  bet of MvG being the tournament winner doesn’t materialise.

Assuming it will be a Taylor and van Gerwen final it will be either 3/4 or 4/4 winning tips for this short tournament giving a healthy profit. Also if they do go toe to toe there will be no further tips from me, apart from the Phil lay part of the trade which will probably be around 13/8.

Darts is my most profitable sport and it’s worthwhile checking out the spreadsheet here.

After two months of paper trading, my new horse racing tips will be introduced from 1st June and as Phil Taylor would say “trust me” they are good!

picture of darts players (MvG and Chizzy)  Michael van Gerwen and dave chisnall

Michael van Gerwen v Dave Chisnall

(5pm GMT & coverage on ITV4)

I backed Dave to get the most 180’s yesterday when he beat Adrian Lewis 10-1 and he made me sweat for it as it was 0-0 after 9 legs and then he managed just the 1 in the tenth leg which was enough to win, but only just!

MvG got 10 180s in his match so I have side with him here. Boylesports and Betway  are offering 10/11 for Michael to get the most 180’s which I think is a great price.

Personally I would prefer to LAY Chizzy on the most 180s as I would win if it ended a draw, but unfortunately Betfair aren’t covering that market on the exchange.

Back MvG To Get The Most 180’s

10/11 Boylesports & Betway (1.91)

~~~~~

Open a Betfair account HERE. Then place a £10 bet and get THREE £10 bets free!

Picture of Betfair's bet £10 and get £30 in free bets for new accounts!