The men’s semi-finals take place on Friday and I am getting involved in both matches. I am putting this tip up nice and early as Marathon Bet are being particularly generous by offering odds against for Djokovic to win 3-0 where as everyone else is odds on, with the lowest being 2/3 (1.66)!
Novak Djokovic v Gael Monfils
Monfils hasn’t beaten Djokovic in their last 13 matches, that’s as far back as I researched. The last time Gael won two sets off of Novak was in 2005 and Gael lost that match 3-2. The last three slams that they met in Novak won them all 3-o.
Now to this years tournament – Gael has won all five of his matches 3-0 and Novak has only played two full matches (3-1 & 3-0).
So if Janowicz can nick a set off of Novak in round one and Monfils hasn’t won two sets off of him in ten years the score has to be either 3-0 or 3-1 in my opinion. I am going to side with 3-1 as although Novak may have played less match tennis he may not be as match sharp as he could be if he had played five full matches.
So I am dutching 3-0 & 3-1 with the outcome of being +2.20 points if it ends 3-1, break even if it ends 3-0 and a two point loss any other score.