Week three of the Premier League takes us to the First Direct Arena in Leeds and I am getting stuck into four of the five matches on Thursday night.
So far there have been three draws in ten matches, so whatever way you decide to bet you really need to take the draw out of the equation. You can back draw no bet (DNB), lay a player as you win if it ends a draw or go can go +1.5 legs. Personally I prefer to lay a player with Betfair as you still win if it ends a draw!
I haven’t had a losing tip yet for this year’s Premier League and this week I will be changing my betting tactics by switching to the 180s markets due to the fact that we have some strong and weak 180 hitters playing each other.
I will be laying players to get the most 180s meaning I will be backing them not to win on Betfair’s exchange giving me the draw too. It is always best to lay rather back a player to get the most 180s as in this short format a draw is likely with the average amount of 180s per player being only three!
Surprisingly there isn’t a player who has won both of their matches so far and the table below is up to an including week two matches.
|Michael van Gerwen||2||1||1||0||+4||3|
|Raymond van Barneveld||2||1||1||0||+2||3|
On to Thursday’s matches and tips.
Gary Anderson v Peter Wright
Regular readers of my website will probably notice that I tend to go for Gary Anderson a lot for getting the most 180s in his matches, but this weak I will be taking him on.
He went through a bad 180 spell in the autumn and it looks like he is again. He has only managed two 180s in both his matches so far and Peter has got a total of eight. No doubt Gary will be back firing in the 180s at some point soon, but for now he is ideal to lay at odds on!
Adrian Lewis v James Wade
As I mentioned last week, Adrian Lewis’s being a prolific 180 hitter is a distant memory. He has only managed four 180s so far and James has seven to his name.
So I will be taking Adrian on here.
Phil Taylor v Raymond van Barneveld
Barney has the most 180s so far in the tournament of eleven compared to Phil being the lowest with just the one. So there is no need to second guess which way I will be going in this match!
Michael van Gerwen v Jelle Klaasen
Michael is coming into this match in great form as he got two 9 darters in one match (8 legs) at the weekend!
I have looked at a few markets in this match and see nothing worthwhile doing at a bit of a price. Perhaps if I was doing a multiple I might go for MvG -2.5 legs, but as I’m not I will sit this match out.
Dave Chisnall v Kim Huybrechts
Yep you’ve guessed it, I will be laying Kim to get the most 180s in the final match of the night.
Dave is one of the top 180 hitters in the game, just as well as he has been poor on his doubles so far getting on 33% and 29% in the previous two weeks.
Dave has eight 180s to his name compared to Kim’s four.
NB – Lay means not to win and can only be done on a betting Exchange such as Betfair. Open a Betfair account HERE. Then place a £10 bet and get THREE £10 bets free!
Lay Anderson at 6/5 (2.20)*
Lay Lewis at 5/4 (2.25)*
Lay Taylor at 9/4 (3.25)*
Lay Hybrechts at 7/2 (4.50)*
* Estimated prices